Blame the Superdelegates!

As the seemingly eternal bloody fracas continues between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton the ability of either to beat John McCain in the general election is diminishing. While it’s clear that at this point Obama is not going to be beaten in terms of the popular vote and certainly not the number of contests won, Clinton presses on with her unwinnable campaign. Now some may question the validity of that statement but let’s contrast the Obama/Clinton race with the McCain/Romney/Huckabee race.

According to Hillary Clinton, Obama isn’t able to finish this thing, right?

“Why can’t he close the deal?” Clinton said. “Why can’t he win a state like this one [Pennsylvania], if that is the way it turns out?”

But if losing a state was an indication of weakness then John McCain most likely wouldn’t have received the Republican nomination. After all McCain LOST in 17 different states including Kansas, Georgia, Tennessee, Alabama, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Utah, Arkansas, Alaska, North Dakota, Montana, Maine, Nevada, Wyoming, Iowa and West Virginia.

That’s quite a list but yet John McCain is still the nominee, why?

Well first of all it’s not a good analogy. Republican contests are winner take all and John McCain hasn’t had a challenger since early March. McCain’s also had a spoiler, a Ross Perot type candidate if you will in Mike Huckabee, who has drawn votes away from Mitt Romney. Furthermore, if McCain had to live life under the proportional allocation of delegates rule that the Democrats abide by, he’d be a bloody pulp by now and probably would not have won the nomination.

Don’t get me wrong, the rule of proportional representation is a good one except the participants, in this case the Democrats, need to understand the consequences of the law of diminishing returns. In this case the law of diminishing returns basically says that producing one more vote for the challenger in the nomination process consequently diminishes the ability of either Democratic candidate to win in the general election.

Hillary Clinton continues in this race not because of the voting of the majority of democrats which she has clearly lost, she continues in this race because of uncertainty.

What’s the source of this uncertainty?

Plainly and simply, the equivocation of Party insiders. If after it became readily apparent that Clinton didn’t have a chance of winning the popular vote the Superdelegates did the prudent thing and stopped supporting her, rallying around the popular vote winner, there wouldn’t be an impression that Obama can’t close the deal. The reality is that with the majority of Democrats Barack Obama has already closed the deal.

What remains to be seen is if the Superdelegates negate that outcome.

So as this unwinnable war that Clinton continues to wage rages on and the Democratic chances of winning the general election in November continues to dwindle, at least now you’ll know where to place the blame if the outcome isn’t what you expect; BLAME THE SUPERDELEGATES!!!

Local Weathermen Now Doing Political Analysis at Politico.com

Boy, when Politico.com came on the scene I thought these guys might just get some things right by doing things differently from the conventional political drivel. They just continue to prove me wrong.

Just look at this article,

“What Clinton wishes she could say”

I didn’t think one could find much more rubbish then in Staten Island but this article nearly tops it. I have to tell you, I really like the literary device in using what Hillary really wants to say publicly but can’t to fill their paragraphs - it really gave the authors the freedom to stuff this pig with bologna.

“Obama has serious problems with Jewish voters (goodbye Florida), working-class whites (goodbye Ohio) and Hispanics (goodbye, New Mexico)”

GIVE ME A BREAK!

The ONLY thing that is going to separate this election from recent presidential elections is TURNOUT. Florida, Ohio and New Mexico are all going to be in play for both Republicans and Democrats. Sure, there is a slight advantage for Republicans (especially when looking at the results of recent history) but liberal Jews in Florida aren’t going to vote for John McCain, nor are left-leaning Hispanics in New Mexico (or anywhere else for that matter) if Obama gets the nomination. Hillary and Bill certainly know that.

The difference in this presidential election is going to be TURNOUT (which by the way almost always favors the Dems) and both John McCain and Hillary Clinton most assuredly aren’t going to bring any new voters to the polls. So please stop spouting your conventional wisdom horse crap and do some damn research before you start typing up some mindless mythical garbage.

Just makes me wonder why in the hell so many political pundits are allowed to fill these positions when they’re wrong more times than my local weatherman? Maybe it’s because just like meteorology everyone thinks they can tell what’s going to happen in politics by just stepping outside, licking their finger and holding it up to see which way the wind is blowing.